Water ByakkoTier 2
at 3/29 大圖盃台中預賽
decks
1
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1340
· median 1340
· range 1340–1340
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1110
Q1 1175
Q3 1362
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Water Fractal | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Byakko decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
